[Source: Reuters]

Prada’s deal to buy Versace revives hopes for a ‘Made in Italy’ luxury champion after many other family-founded brands ended up in French, Swiss or U.S. hands, and comes as many Italian groups are outperforming the struggling sector.

The $1.375 billion deal brings one of fashion’s best-known Italian labels back under Italian control after it was sold to U.S-listed Capri Holdings, then known as Michael Kors, for $2.15 billion including debt in 2018.

Despite Italy accounting for 50% to 55% of global personal luxury goods production, according to consultancy Bain’s estimates, the country lacks a group with a scale that matches up to French players such as LVMH (LVMH.PA), opens new tab and Gucci-owner Kering (PRTP.PA), opens new tab.

Milan-based Prada (1913.F), opens new tab, controlled by designer Miuccia Prada and husband Patrizio Bertelli and listed in Hong Kong with a market capitalisation of about 14 billion euros ($15 billion), is the largest Italian luxury fashion group by revenue.

But the group, which also includes the fast-growing Miu Miu label, has been a relative minnow in terms of stock market valuation compared with the likes of Louis Vuitton-owner LVMH.

The Versace deal comes after Andrea Guerra became Prada’s CEO in 2023 to bridge a change in generation, with Lorenzo Bertelli, the son of the company’s main owners and its chief marketing officer, regarded as the heir apparent.

The combined revenue of the five biggest Italian-owned listed luxury groups – Prada, Moncler (MONC.MI), opens new tab, Ermenegildo Zegna (JN0.F), opens new tab, Brunello Cucinelli (BCU.MI), opens new tab and Ferragamo (SFER.MI), opens new tab – is still well below Kering’s roughly 17 billion euros, even after a big fall in sales at the French group last year.

Company founder Brunello Cucinelli summed up the difference in approach on the two sides of the Alps in typically colourful fashion.

While LVMH and Kering have swallowed many Italian brands, even the larger Italian groups have until now been comparatively reluctant to make big acquisitions.

Prada’s chairman and co-owner Patrizio Bertelli defined the acquisition of those two brands – which were bought at the turn of the century and sold a few years later – as “strategic mistakes”. The group has since focused mainly on organic growth, with the exception of acquisitions of suppliers.

Both Prada and Versace have their roots in Milan and still have headquarters there, just four kilometres (2.5 miles) apart.

Milan-based Moncler, the mountain gear brand that was bought and revived by Italian entrepreneur and current main shareholder Remo Ruffini in 2003, has also shown some interest in dealmaking, buying Italian streetwear brand Stone Island in a 1.15-billion-euro deal agreed in late 2020.

Moncler’s net cash position of 1.3 billion euros has fuelled analyst talk of more deals, but the group has denied such speculation.

Jil Sander is now part of Italian entrepreneur Renzo Rosso’s OTB Group, which also includes brands such as Diesel and Maison Margiela. But with annual sales of 1.7 billion euros, it remains relatively small.

The big Paris-based groups, meanwhile, have continued to make forays into Italy, underscoring the challenge an enlarged Prada would face to compete with them.

In the latest deals, Kering bought a 30% stake in Italian maison Valentino in 2023, and LVMH last year helped to take Tod’s private and took a 10% stake in Moncler’s top shareholder.

In the longer-term, eyes are on companies such as Milan-based Armani and Dolce & Gabbana, among the few in Italy that are still fully family-owned and unlisted.

Their ultimate fates could be decisive in any effort to create a true Italian powerhouse in global fashion.

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